Probabilistic projections of increased heat stress driven by climate change [0.03%]
气候变化驱动的高温热浪的概率预测
Lucas R Vargas Zeppetello,Adrian E Raftery,David S Battisti
Lucas R Vargas Zeppetello
The Heat Index is a metric that quantifies heat exposure in human beings. Here, using probabilistic emission projections, we show that changes in the Heat Index driven by anthropogenic CO2 emissions will increase global exposure to dangerou...
Off-fault deformation feedback and strain localization precursor during laboratory earthquakes [0.03%]
实验室地震期间的非断层变形反馈和应变局域化前兆事件
Gabriel G Meyer,Carolina Giorgetti,Simon Guérin-Marthe et al.
Gabriel G Meyer et al.
Recent large-scale seismological observations have shown that off-fault strain localization and foreshock migration could serve as an early warning of an impending earthquake. However, this process is still largely unknown. In this study, s...
Fast and full characterization of large earthquakes from prompt elastogravity signals [0.03%]
大地震的快速完整表征：从快速弹性重力信号开始
Kévin Juhel,Quentin Bletery,Andrea Licciardi et al.
Kévin Juhel et al.
Prompt ElastoGravity Signals are light-speed gravity-induced signals recorded before the arrival of seismic waves. They have raised interest for early warning applications but their weak amplitudes close to the background seismic noise have...
Phasing and climate forcing potential of the Millennium Eruption of Mt. Baekdu [0.03%]
千年白头山火山喷发的时间和气候强迫潜力
Giyoon Lee,Andrea Burke,William Hutchison et al.
Giyoon Lee et al.
The Millennium Eruption of Mt. Baekdu, one of the largest volcanic eruptions in the Common Era, initiated in late 946. It remains uncertain whether its two main compositional phases, rhyolite and trachyte, were expelled in a single eruption...
The energy crisis differentially impacted Swiss and German citizens' energy literacy and efficiency preferences but not their support for climate policies [0.03%]
能源危机对瑞士和德国公民的能源素养和效率偏好的不同影响及其对气候政策支持无差异
Nina L Frings,Jessica F Helm,Ulf J J Hahnel
Nina L Frings
The energy crisis reshaped energy politics, resulted in energy price surges, increased energy capacity, and large-scale energy-saving campaigns. While an energy demand reduction was observed in Europe, little is known about how the crisis i...
Breaking Rossby waves drive extreme precipitation in the world's arid regions [0.03%]
破灭的罗斯比波列驱动着世界干旱地区极端降水事件的发生
Andries Jan de Vries,Moshe Armon,Klaus Klingmüller et al.
Andries Jan de Vries et al.
More than a third of the world's population lives in drylands and is disproportionately at risk from hydrometeorological hazards such as drought and flooding. While weather systems governing precipitation formation in humid regions have bee...
Matrix imaging as a tool for high-resolution monitoring of deep volcanic plumbing systems with seismic noise [0.03%]
利用地震噪声进行高分辨率监测深火山 Plumbing 系统的矩阵成像方法研究
Elsa Giraudat,Arnaud Burtin,Arthur Le Ber et al.
Elsa Giraudat et al.
Volcanic eruptions necessitate precise monitoring of magma pressure and inflation for improved forecasting. Understanding deep magma storage is crucial for hazard assessment, yet imaging these systems is challenging due to complex heterogen...
Perceptions of carbon dioxide emission reductions and future warming among climate experts [0.03%]
气候专家对二氧化碳减排及其对未来全球变暖影响的看法
Seth Wynes,Steven J Davis,Mitchell Dickau et al.
Seth Wynes et al.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) employs emission scenarios to explore a range of future climate outcomes but refrains from assigning probabilities to individual scenarios. However, IPCC authors have their own views on t...
Tinghong Zhou,John A Tarduno,Rory D Cottrell et al.
Tinghong Zhou et al.
Single crystal paleointensity (SCP) reveals that the Moon lacked a long-lived core dynamo, though mysteries remain. An episodic dynamo, seemingly recorded by some Apollo basalts, is temporally and energetically problematic. We evaluate this...
Increasing extreme precipitation variability plays a key role in future record-shattering event probability [0.03%]
增加的极端降水变异性在未来创纪录事件概率中起关键作用
Iris de Vries,Sebastian Sippel,Joel Zeder et al.
Iris de Vries et al.
Climate events that break records by large margins are a threat to society and ecosystems. Climate change is expected to increase the probability of such events, but quantifying these probabilities is challenging due to natural variability ...