How heterogeneous susceptibility and recovery rates affect the spread of epidemics on networks [0.03%]
异质性易感性和恢复率对网络上传染病传播的影响
Wei Gou,Zhen Jin
Wei Gou
In this paper, an extended heterogeneous SIR model is proposed, which generalizes the heterogeneous mean-field theory. Different from the traditional heterogeneous mean-field model only taking into account the heterogeneity of degree, our m...
National assessment of Canadian pandemic preparedness: Employing InFluNet to identify high-risk areas for inter-wave vaccine distribution [0.03%]
加拿大流感大流行准备情况的国家级评估:运用InFluNet识别联波疫苗分配的高危区域
Patrick Saunders-Hastings,Bryson Quinn Hayes,Robert Smith et al.
Patrick Saunders-Hastings et al.
Background: Influenza pandemics emerge at irregular and unpredictable intervals to cause substantial health, economic and social burdens. Optimizing health-system response is vital to mitigating the consequences of future...
Modeling the role of public health education in Ebola virus disease outbreaks in Sudan [0.03%]
苏丹埃博拉病毒疾病的公共卫生教育作用的模型研究
Benjamin Levy,Christina Edholm,Orou Gaoue et al.
Benjamin Levy et al.
Public involvement in Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) prevention efforts is key to reducing disease outbreaks. Targeted education through practical health information to particular groups and sub-populations is crucial to controlling the disease....
A new epidemic modeling approach: Multi-regions discrete-time model with travel-blocking vicinity optimal control strategy [0.03%]
一种新的流行病建模方法:旅行阻断邻域最优控制策略的多地区离散时间模型
Omar Zakary,Mostafa Rachik,Ilias Elmouki
Omar Zakary
First, we devise in this paper, a multi-regions discrete-time model which describes the spatial-temporal spread of an epidemic which starts from one region and enters to regions which are connected with their neighbors by any kind of anthro...
Pauline van den Driessche
Pauline van den Driessche
This primer article focuses on the basic reproduction number, ℛ0 , for infectious diseases, and other reproduction numbers related to ℛ0 that are useful in guiding control strategies. Beginning with a simple population model, th...
Shigui Ruan
Shigui Ruan
Rabies is a serious concern to public health and wildlife management worldwide. Over the last three decades, various mathematical models have been proposed to study the transmission dynamics of rabies. In this paper we provide a mini-review...
A primer on stable parameter estimation and forecasting in epidemiology by a problem-oriented regularized least squares algorithm [0.03%]
一种用于流行病学问题的稳定参数估计和预测的正则化最小二乘算法介绍
Alexandra Smirnova,Gerardo Chowell
Alexandra Smirnova
Public health officials are increasingly recognizing the need to develop disease-forecasting systems to respond to epidemic and pandemic outbreaks. For instance, simple epidemic models relying on a small number of parameters can play an imp...
F B Agusto,S Bewick,W F Fagan
F B Agusto
Zika is a flavivirus transmitted to humans through either the bites of infected Aedes mosquitoes or sexual transmission. Zika has been linked to congenital anomalies such as microcephaly. In this paper, we analyze a new system of ordinary d...
Yijun Lou,Jianhong Wu
Yijun Lou
Lyme disease, a typical tick-borne disease, imposes increasing global public health challenges. A growing body of theoretical models have been proposed to better understand various factors determining the disease risk, which not only enrich...
Julien Arino
Julien Arino
Spatio-temporal aspects in the propagation of infectious pathogens of humans are reviewed. Mathematical modelling of these issues using metapopulation models is presented.