Impact of high-order time-delayed information on epidemic propagation in multiplex networks [0.03%]
高阶时延信息对复网络中流行病传播的影响研究
Zehui Zhang,Fang Wang,Lilin Liu et al.
Zehui Zhang et al.
Traditional epidemic models often overlook disease incubation periods and high-order social interactions, limiting their ability to capture real-world transmission dynamics. To address these gaps, we develop a stochastic model that integrat...
HIV/AIDS hidden transmission model with HIV testing and contact tracing in an SID community [0.03%]
在一个进行HIV检测和接触调查的SID社区中艾滋病的隐形传播模型
Huiling Ouyang,Fengying Wei,Zhen Jin et al.
Huiling Ouyang et al.
HIV testing and contact tracing facilitate early detection of HIV/AIDS infections for interrupting the hidden transmission. In this study, a susceptible-undiagnosed-diagnosed transmission model with testing and contact tracing is proposed i...
Novel approach to extract epidemiological information from waves in epidemic's profiles [0.03%]
一种从流行病波形中提取流行病学信息的新方法
Juan Campos,Maria C A Leite
Juan Campos
In this paper, we develop a novel mathematical framework based on the Kermack- McKendrick model to extract epidemiological parameters from real temporal profiles consisting of waves. The approach's key feature is the ability to obtain all m...
Modelling, analysis and optimal control of Zika virus transmission dynamics based on sterile insect technique [0.03%]
基于绝育昆虫技术的寨卡病毒传播动力学建模、分析和最优控制
Zongmin Yue,Yingpan Zhang,Xiangrui Ji
Zongmin Yue
The sterile insect technique (SIT) has emerged as a promising tool for suppressing mosquito-borne diseases. This study develops a Zika virus transmission model integrating SIT, emphasizing both mosquito-borne and environmental aquatic trans...
A compartmental model of variant coexistence, dynamics and dominance in infectious diseases: Case for SARS-CoV-2 in Abu Dhabi [0.03%]
关于传染病的变异体共存、动态和主导地位的隔室模型：阿布扎比冠状病毒病例研究
Mauricio Patón,Mireille Hantouche,Farida Al-Hosani et al.
Mauricio Patón et al.
In recent years, the rapid mutation of SARS-CoV-2 has led to the emergence of new variants. Despite advancements in pandemic control, these new variants could pose substantial public health issues. This study introduces a comprehensive comp...
Optimal prevention and control strategy of infectious disease: Cost-effectiveness analysis based on a modified dynamic model with economic loss [0.03%]
传染病最优防治策略的成本效益分析：基于经济损失的改进动力学模型
Wenjun Liu,Guohua Zou,Qin Bao et al.
Wenjun Liu et al.
The large-scale outbreaks of novel infectious diseases threaten public health, while strict intervention measures might slow down the economic activity. The effective prevention and control measures should balance cost and benefit. This stu...
Dengue forecasting and outbreak detection in Brazil using LSTM: integrating human mobility and climate factors [0.03%]
结合人类移动和气候因素在巴西利用LSTM进行登革热预测和疫情检测
Xiang Chen,Paula Moraga
Xiang Chen
Background: Dengue fever is a major global health concern, with Brazil experiencing recurrent and severe outbreaks due to its favorable climate factors, socio-environmental conditions, and increasing human mobility. Accur...
An age-structured mathematical model to assess the combined effects of vaccine and non-vaccine interventions on malaria transmission and burden [0.03%]
一个年龄结构的数学模型 用于评估疫苗和非疫苗干预措施对疟疾传播及负担的联合影响
Romain Glèlè Kakaï,Ludosky Crédo Djomatin
Romain Glèlè Kakaï
Malaria remains a significant public health problem, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, where its burden remains a concern despite existing control measures. Recent advances in vaccination, particularly with RTS, S and R21, offer new oppor...
COVID-19, infection fatality rate (IFR) implied by the serology, antibody, testing in New York City [0.03%]
新冠抗体阳性率推断纽约感染总死亡率(IFR)
Linus Wilson
Linus Wilson
This paper estimates COVID-19 infection fatality rate (IFR) in early 2020 before pharmaceutical interventions were available on a large population in the United States. The better estimates of COVID-19 deaths in New York City and its high C...
Predicting the burden of co-infections in seasonally driven dynamics of pediatric rotavirus and norovirus [0.03%]
基于季节性驱动的儿童轮状病毒和诺如病毒共感染负担预测模型研究
Mohammadi Qurratul Ain,Angela Peace
Mohammadi Qurratul Ain
Rotavirus and norovirus are principal viral agents of acute gastroenteritis, primarily transmitted through close contact. Although each virus has its own capability to spread the epidemic, rotavirus and norovirus infection simultaneously is...