Lanlan Yu,Yunyi Cai,Gui-Quan Sun et al.
Lanlan Yu et al.
Serial interval (SI) is a crucial indicator for characterizing the course of epidemic transmission and provides guidance in designing the intervention strategy for preventing epidemic spreading. Many approaches have been developed to estima...
A predictive model for rapid assessment of protective efficacy against emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants [0.03%]
Lairun Jin,Siyue Jia,Chengwei Shao et al.
Lairun Jin et al.
An effective predictive model of protection would be very helpful to provide a timely and reliable evaluation of the vaccine induced protection against corresponding to rapidly emerging evolving SARS-CoV-2 variants. By integrating the valid...
Data-driven model analysis of the impact of environmental and socioeconomic factors on tuberculosis incidence [0.03%]
基于数据驱动模型分析环境和社会经济因素对结核病发病率影响
Yiwen Tao,Jiaxin Zhao,Hao Cui et al.
Yiwen Tao et al.
Tuberculosis (TB), a global infectious disease, poses a formidable challenge to Taiwan, China, exacerbated by its aging demographic and the incursion of pathogens from Southeast Asia's high-risk districts. In this study, we analyzed data ac...
Acute respiratory infection (COVID-19) risk prediction in travelers: A random forest model [0.03%]
旅行者急性呼吸道感染（COVID-19）风险预测：随机森林模型
Jingbo Yu,Hao Yu,Yuming Wang et al.
Jingbo Yu et al.
Background: Early screening during outbreaks of acute respiratory infections (ARIs) is critical for controlling disease spread among international travelers. However, the massive volume of traveler data generated in a sho...
Estimation of transmission distance between cases of (re-)emerging respiratory infectious diseases and its potential application in outbreak response [0.03%]
新型呼吸道传染病传播距离的估计及其在疫情应对中的应用潜力分析
Wenlong Zhu,Xueyao Liang,Xinyu Wang et al.
Wenlong Zhu et al.
Quantifying transmission distance helps to understand infectious disease spread patterns, but few studies have assessed this for (re-)emerging respiratory infectious diseases. The COVID-19 pandemic's extensive surveillance and high-quality ...
Modelling the effect of long-lasting insecticidal nets on malaria transmission dynamics in Kebbi State, Nigeria [0.03%]
尼日利亚基比州蚊帐对疟疾传播动力学影响的模型分析
Emmanuel A Bakare,Idowu I Olasupo,Micheal Imoudu et al.
Emmanuel A Bakare et al.
Background/aim: Malaria, in Nigeria, is a disease of public health concern that has caused both morbidity and mortality, with the highest prevalence in Kebbi State. Long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) have been instrum...
Manting Wang,P van den Driessche,Laura L E Cowen et al.
Manting Wang et al.
Accurate estimation of the initial growth rate of an epidemic is critical for assessing transmissibility and guiding early interventions. Standard regression-based methods, such as negative binomial regression, often rely on independence as...
From qualitative prediction to quantitative insight: combined meteorological patterns and regional dynamics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Liaoning Province, China, 2010-2024 [0.03%]
从定性预测到定量洞察：中国辽宁省严重发热伴血小板减少综合征的气象模式与区域动态（2010-2024年）
Ning Yu,Baocheng Deng,Xue Zhang
Ning Yu
Background: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome(SFTS) is an emerging tick-borne disease with an expanding range and increasing public health burden. Meteorology-driven frameworks that integrate qualitative predict...
Ensemble-labeling of infectious disease time series to evaluate early warning systems [0.03%]
传染病时间序列的群体标签化以评估早期预警系统
Andreas Hicketier,Moritz Bach,Philip Oedi et al.
Andreas Hicketier et al.
Early warning systems (EWSs) for detecting disease outbreaks can help make informed public health decisions and organize necessary responses. During the COVID-19 pandemic, several EWSs were proposed that use covariates such as mobility or s...
Simulating treatment effects for gonorrhoea using a within-host mathematical model [0.03%]
利用宿主体内数学模型模拟淋病的治疗效果
Pavithra Jayasundara,David G Regan,Philip Kuchel et al.
Pavithra Jayasundara et al.
Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG) bacteria have evolved resistance to many of the antibiotics used to treat gonorrhoea infection. To explore potential treatment options for gonorrhoea, we extend a previously developed within-host mathematical mode...