Dominika A Kalkowska,Radboud J Duintjer Tebbens,Kimberly M Thompson
Dominika A Kalkowska
Background: Silent circulation of polioviruses complicates the polio endgame and motivates analyses that explore the probability of undetected circulation for different scenarios. A recent analysis suggested a relatively ...
Simulation of four respiratory viruses and inference of epidemiological parameters [0.03%]
四种呼吸道病毒的模拟及流行病学参数的推理
Julia Reis,Jeffrey Shaman
Julia Reis
While influenza has been simulated extensively to better understand its behavior and predict future outbreaks, most other respiratory viruses have seldom been simulated. In this study, we provide an overview of four common respiratory viral...
William Tritch,Linda J S Allen
William Tritch
Disease outbreaks in stochastic SIR epidemic models are characterized as either minor or major. When ℛ 0 1 , they can be minor or major. In 1955, Whittle derived formulas for the probability of a minor or a major epidemic. A minor ...
Relatedness of the incidence decay with exponential adjustment (IDEA) model, "Farr's law" and SIR compartmental difference equation models [0.03%]
关于发病率衰减指数调整模型(IDEA)，法尔定律以及SIR传染病模型之间的联系
Mauricio Santillana,Ashleigh Tuite,Tahmina Nasserie et al.
Mauricio Santillana et al.
Mathematical models are often regarded as recent innovations in the description and analysis of infectious disease outbreaks and epidemics, but simple mathematical expressions have been in use for projection of epidemic trajectories for mor...
Adult female syphilis prevalence, congenital syphilis case incidence and adverse birth outcomes, Mongolia 2000-2016: Estimates using the Spectrum STI tool [0.03%]
蒙古2000-2016年成人女性梅毒患病率、先天性梅毒发病率和不良出生结局估算：使用Spectrum STD工具
Erdenetungalag Enkhbat,Eline L Korenromp,Jugderjav Badrakh et al.
Erdenetungalag Enkhbat et al.
Introduction: Mongolia's health ministry prioritizes control of Sexually Transmitted Infections, including syphilis screening and treatment in antenatal care (ANC). ...
Winston Garira
Winston Garira
The development of multiscale models of infectious disease systems is a scientific endeavour whose progress depends on advances on three main frontiers: (a) the conceptual framework frontier, (b) the mathematical technology or technical fro...
A primer on the use of probability generating functions in infectious disease modeling [0.03%]
概率生成函数在传染病建模中的应用导论
Joel C Miller
Joel C Miller
We explore the application of probability generating functions (PGFs) to invasive processes, focusing on infectious disease introduced into large populations. Our goal is to acquaint the reader with applications of PGFs, moreso than to deri...
Corrigendum to "Silent circulation of poliovirus in small populations" [Infectious Disease Modeling 2 (2017) 431-440] [0.03%]
“论小群体中脊髓灰质炎病毒的隐形传播”(修正)[感染病建模，2(2017)，431-440]
Celeste Vallejo,James Keesling,James Koopman et al.
Celeste Vallejo et al.
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2017.11.001.]. Keywords: Acute flaccid paralysis surveillance;...
Published Erratum
Infectious Disease Modelling. 2018 Mar 20:3:136-138. DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2018.02.001 2018
Mathematics of dengue transmission dynamics: Roles of vector vertical transmission and temperature fluctuations [0.03%]
登革热传播动力学的数学模型：媒介垂直传播和温度波动的作用
Rahim Taghikhani,Abba B Gumel
Rahim Taghikhani
A new deterministic model is designed and used to gain insight into the effect of seasonal variations in temperature and vector vertical transmission on the transmission dynamics of dengue disease. The model, which incorporates (among many ...
Karima Kabli,Soumia El Moujaddid,Khadija Niri et al.
Karima Kabli et al.
This paper aims to study the global stability of an Ebola virus epidemic model. Although this epidemic ended in September 2015, it devastated several West African countries and mobilized the international community. With the recent cases of...