What could re-infection tell us about R0? A modeling case-study of syphilis transmission [0.03%]
重复感染能告诉我们关于基本传染数R0什么信息吗？梅毒传播模型案例研究
Joshua Feldman,Sharmistha Mishra
Joshua Feldman
Many infectious diseases can lead to re-infection. We examined the relationship between the prevalence of repeat infection and the basic reproductive number (R0). First we solved a generic, deterministic compartmental model of re-infection ...
Countries at risk of importation of chikungunya virus cases from Southern Thailand: A modeling study [0.03%]
南方泰国登革热病毒感染病例输入风险国家分析：基于建模研究
Ashleigh R Tuite,Alexander G Watts,Kamran Khan et al.
Ashleigh R Tuite et al.
Southern Thailand has been experiencing a large chikungunya virus (CHIKV) outbreak since October 2018. Given the magnitude and duration of the outbreak and its location in a popular tourist destination, we sought to determine international ...
Evaluating the probability of silent circulation of polio in small populations using the silent circulation statistic [0.03%]
利用无声传播统计量评估小范围内脊髓灰质炎病毒的静息传播概率
Celeste Vallejo,Carl A B Pearson,James Koopman et al.
Celeste Vallejo et al.
As polio-endemic countries move towards elimination, infrequent first infections and incomplete surveillance make it difficult to determine when the virus has been eliminated from the population. Eichner and Dietz [American Journal of Epide...
Stochastic and spatio-temporal analysis of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome outbreak in South Korea, 2015 [0.03%]
韩国2015年中东呼吸综合征的随机和时空分析
Hyunsun Lee
Hyunsun Lee
South Korea was free of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) until 2015. The MERS outbreak in South Korea during 2015 was the largest outbreak of the Coronavirus outside the Middle East. The major characteristic of this outbreak is i...
Investigation of temporal and spatial heterogeneities of the immune responses to Bordetella pertussis infection in the lung and spleen of mice via analysis and modeling of dynamic microarray gene expression data [0.03%]
基于时间序列基因表达谱数据的百日咳博德特氏菌感染小鼠肺和脾脏免疫反应的异质性分析及建模研究
Nan Deng,Juan C Ramirez,Michelle Carey et al.
Nan Deng et al.
Bordetella pertussis (B. pertussis) is the causative agent of pertussis, also referenced as whooping cough. Although pertussis has been appropriately controlled by routine immunization of infants, it has experienced a resurgence since the b...
A threshold delay model of HIV infection of newborn infants through breastfeeding [0.03%]
母乳喂养导致新生儿HIV感染的阈值延迟模型
Alexandra Teslya,Redouane Qesmi,Jianhong Wu et al.
Alexandra Teslya et al.
The breast milk of HIV infected women contains HIV virus particles, therefore children can become infected through breastfeeding. We develop a mathematical epidemiological model of HIV infection in infants, infected children and infected wo...
Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of the 2017 meningitis outbreak in Nigeria [0.03%]
2017年尼日利亚脑膜炎疫情的最优控制和成本效益分析
F B Agusto,M C A Leite
F B Agusto
This paper presents a deterministic model for Neisseria meningitidis, a bacterium that causes meningitis. The model was parameterized using data from the 2017 meningitis outbreak in Nigeria. Optimal control theory was applied to investigate...
A sexually transmitted infection model with long-term partnerships in homogeneous and heterogenous populations [0.03%]
具有一夫一妻制的性传播感染模型在同质和异质群体中的研究
K F Gurski
K F Gurski
Population models for sexually transmitted infections frequently use a transmission model that assumes an inherent partnership length of zero. However, in a population with long-term partnerships, the infection status of the partners, the l...
Christopher Mitchell,Christopher Kribs
Christopher Mitchell
There are many cases within epidemiology where infections compete to persist within a population. In studying models for such cases, one of the goals is to determine which infections can invade a population and persist when other infections...
A singular perturbation approach to epidemics of vector-transmitted diseases [0.03%]
向量传播疾病的传染病的奇性摄动方法研究
Fred Brauer
Fred Brauer
In vector-borne epidemic models there is often a substantial difference between the vector and host time scales. This makes it possible to use the quasi-steady-state to obtain final size relations.