Modeling the transmission dynamics and control strategies during the 2017 diphtheria outbreak in Jakarta, Indonesia [0.03%]
印尼雅加达2017年白喉疫情传播动力学及控制策略的建模研究
Bimandra A Djaafara,Verry Adrian,Etrina Eriawati et al.
Bimandra A Djaafara et al.
Diphtheria has resurged globally, including in Indonesia, despite widespread vaccination since the 1970s. Knowledge gaps persist in understanding contemporary transmission drivers and effective outbreak control, especially in densely popula...
Analysis of human papillomavirus model with vaccination and individual heterogeneity [0.03%]
具有个体异质性的接种疫苗的人乳头瘤病毒模型分析
Jing An,Wenhui Hao,Huifen Guo et al.
Jing An et al.
The dynamic system of HPV transmission with age subgroups, sexual and nonsexual transmission is established based on HPV vaccination. Firstly, the transmission threshold R 0 of the system is given. Local asymptotically stabilization of dise...
State-space modelling for infectious disease surveillance data: Stochastic simulation techniques and structural change detection [0.03%]
传染病监测数据的状态空间建模：随机模拟技术和结构变化检测
Christopher D Prashad
Christopher D Prashad
We present an exploration of advanced stochastic simulation techniques for state-space models, with a specific focus on their applications in infectious disease modelling. Utilizing COVID-19 surveillance data from the province of Ontario, C...
Shanshan Feng,Wan-Ting Cheng,Xing Li et al.
Shanshan Feng et al.
In recent years, the number of HIV/AIDS cases shows an upward trend in China, particularly among the elderly, exerting severe effects on public health and social economy. This paper proposes an HIV/AIDS model incorporating sexual transmissi...
A statistical model for forecasting probabilistic epidemic bands for dengue cases in Brazil [0.03%]
一种用于预测巴西登革热病例概率流行带的统计模型
Laís Picinini Freitas,Danielle Andreza da Cruz Ferreira,Raquel Martins Lana et al.
Laís Picinini Freitas et al.
Dengue is a vector-borne disease and a major public health concern in Brazil. Its continuing and rising burden has led the Brazilian Ministry of Health to request for modelling efforts to aid in the preparedness and response to the disease....
Predictive and early warning analysis of infectious gastroenteritis based on the BiLSTM-BiGRU model [0.03%]
基于BiLSTM-BiGRU模型的感染性腹泻预测及早期预警分析
Yan Qiao,Miao Ma,Yibo Jiao et al.
Yan Qiao et al.
Appropriate use of scientific early-warning infectious disease surveillance methods plays a vital role in disease control and prevention. Recently infectious gastroenteritis has become an important public health problem. In consideration of...
Hierarchical signal amplification for regional infectious disease risk assessment: A multidimensional approach from urban China [0.03%]
中国城市地区传染病风险评估的多层次信号放大方法：多维方法在中国城市的实证研究
Rui Shen,Xiao Liu,Yi Yuan et al.
Rui Shen et al.
Background: Infectious disease surveillance systems face methodological limitations in early warning capabilities, particularly in integrating correlated indicators, assessing healthcare system impacts, and synthesizing d...
A Bayesian modelling framework with model comparison for epidemics with super-spreading [0.03%]
具备模型对比功能的超传播流行病Bayesian建模框架
Hannah Craddock,Simon E F Spencer,Xavier Didelot
Hannah Craddock
The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case ...
Andualem Tekle Haringo,Legesse Lemecha Obsu,Feyissa Kebede Bushu
Andualem Tekle Haringo
A considerable proportion of malaria infections are asymptomatic, serving as reservoirs that sustain transmission. This study develops a deterministic mathematical model to examine the spread of malaria with a focus on asymptomatic infectio...
Ring vaccination and vector control as control strategies for potential yellow fever outbreak in an Asian city [0.03%]
疫苗环种和媒介控制作为亚洲城市防范黄热病暴发的防控策略
Guo Jing Yang,Haolong Song,Jue Tao Lim et al.
Guo Jing Yang et al.
Background: Yellow Fever (YF) importation remains an active risk to Southeast Asia. This study aims to determine the effectiveness of vector control and ring vaccination as containment strategies. ...