Feasibility of eliminating adult hepatitis B in Guangdong by 2030: A modeling study [0.03%]
2030年广东省消除成人乙型肝炎的可行性研究：建模分析
Ning Sun,Xiaoping Shao,Chen Hou et al.
Ning Sun et al.
Objectives: Eliminating hepatitis B remains challenging, especially in Guangdong, the region with China's highest burden. Predicting incidence, optimizing vaccination, and reducing illness are essential to meet the WHO go...
Travel-related importation risk of mpox from Hong Kong to Shenzhen in 2023: A modeling study [0.03%]
基于模型的2023年香港输入深圳猴痘疫情风险研究
Ruohan Chen,Jia Wan,Dongfeng Kong et al.
Ruohan Chen et al.
Mpox, a viral zoonotic disease formerly known as monkeypox, has gained global attention following a multi-country outbreak in 2022-23, primarily linked to close intimate contact. In China, mpox cases surged in June 2023, with nearly a quart...
Vaccination games of boundedly rational parents toward new childhood immunization [0.03%]
有限理性父母针对新型儿童疫苗接种的博弈分析
Wei Yin,Martial L Ndeffo-Mbah,Tamer Oraby
Wei Yin
Infectious diseases harm societies through disease-induced morbidity, mortality, loss of productivity, and inequality. Thus, controlling and preventing them is critical for public health and societal well-being. However, societies can hinde...
Applications and reporting of causal inference modelling in infectious disease studies: A systematic review [0.03%]
因果推断模型在传染病研究中的应用和报告：系统评价
Yukiko Ezure,Mark Chatfield,David L Paterson et al.
Yukiko Ezure et al.
Causal inference is increasingly employed in infectious disease (ID) epidemiology. Despite the increasing adoption of causal inference methods in infectious disease research, there has been no comprehensive review of their implementation tr...
Bayesian hierarchical modeling of Mpox in the African region (2022-2024): Addressing zero-inflation and spatial autocorrelation [0.03%]
非洲地区（2022-2024）猴痘的贝叶斯层次模型：解决零膨胀和空间自相关问题
Woldegebriel Assefa Woldegerima,Chigozie Louisa J Ugwu
Woldegebriel Assefa Woldegerima
Mpox remains a signi_cant public health challenge in endemic regions of Africa. Understanding its spatial distribution and identifying key drivers in high-risk countries is critical for guiding e_ective interventions. This study applies a Z...
Dynamics and optimal control for tuberculosis transmission via a data-validated periodic model [0.03%]
基于数据验证的周期模型下的结核病传播动力学及最优控制问题研究
Chenkai Guo,Peng Wu
Chenkai Guo
China is the third-largest contributor to the global incidence of tuberculosis (TB), and there are significant differences in the prevalence of TB among different age groups. Therefore, it is necessary to study the contribution of adolescen...
Application of the type and target reproduction numbers to the evaluation of the influence of each prefecture in Japan on the disease spread [0.03%]
类型再生数和目标再生数在日本各都道府县疾病传播影响力评估中的应用研究
Toshikazu Kuniya
Toshikazu Kuniya
In this study, by applying population mobility data in July, August and September of 2019-2023 in Japan to a multigroup epidemic model, we calculate the type and target reproduction numbers of each prefecture in Japan. Regarding these value...
A framework using large time series model for early warning of infectious diseases [0.03%]
一种基于大规模时间序列模型的传染病早期预警框架
Yajie Liu,Xiaoli Wang,Zhidong Cao et al.
Yajie Liu et al.
Objective: Infectious diseases controlling system is indispensable for weaken the damage to the people's life and property security caused by infectious diseases. An effective infectious diseases controlling system must i...
Comparing virus incubation time in SIRC models: Deterministic versus stochastic approaches [0.03%]
确定性与随机方法在SIRC模型病毒潜伏期中的比较分析
Abdelmalik Moujahid,Fernando Vadillo
Abdelmalik Moujahid
Time delays are a fundamental feature in modeling stochastic epidemic systems, as they capture the incubation period and other physiological lags inherent in disease transmission. In this work, we investigate a stochastic SIRC (Susceptible-...
Quantifying mpox transmission and control: A regional analysis of vaccination strategies in East Africa [0.03%]
量化马波斯的传播和控制：东非疫苗接种策略的区域分析
Musa Rabiu,Bosede Fagbemigun,Sunday Fadugba et al.
Musa Rabiu et al.
Africa is home to the endemic mpox disease, especially in the tropical rain-forest regions of Central and West Africa. Although it is mostly found in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, reports of it have also come from other neighboring ...