Gray swan neglect: Do forecasters account for low(ish) probability events? [0.03%]
灰天鹅的忽视:预测者会考虑概率较低(或较低-ish)事件吗?
Dogukan Demircioglu,Faith Hill,Samuel G B Johnson
Dogukan Demircioglu
Economic choices depend on our predictions of the future. Yet, at times, predictions are not based on all possible outcomes, but instead on the single most likely one, which is treated as though certainly the case-that is, digitally. Four s...
Ariana Modirrousta-Galian,Tina Seabrooke,Yaniv Hanoch et al.
Ariana Modirrousta-Galian et al.
Across three preregistered experiments (total N = 1,135), we tested whether an inductive learning (IL) intervention improved participants' news veracity discernment (i.e., ability to distinguish between true and false news). IL involves lea...
Forgetting and blame: When cognitive lapses excuse and when they backfire [0.03%]
遗忘与责备:认知失误何时成为借口以及何时产生反效果
Matthew Stanley,Walter Sinnott-Armstrong
Matthew Stanley
Forgetting is often cited to explain or excuse failures to meet obligations and duties. But does it actually reduce blame? Across seven preregistered experiments (total N = 6,181), we test when and why forgetting mitigates or exacerbates bl...
Jeremy D Strueder,Inkyung Park,Sabrina Lacy et al.
Jeremy D Strueder et al.
In three studies, we tested whether icon arrays-which are a popular method of presenting risk information-can reduce predecisional information distortion that arises when early emerging preferences bias the evaluation of subsequently shown ...
Too close to trust: Message features, resistance, and greenwashing in green advertising [0.03%]
绿色营销广告中的信任边界:特征、阻力与漂绿行为分析
Olivia M Bullock,Lois Hargrove
Olivia M Bullock
As the demand for "green" products grows, companies are utilizing green advertising to appeal to consumers. Unfortunately, this trend has been accompanied by a rise in the phenomenon of greenwashing, which has led to skepticism and distrust...
When pursuing hedonic experiences leads to less hedonic outcomes: Hedonic sampling drives the persistence of false beliefs in reward-rich food environments [0.03%]
享乐性体验导致更少的享乐结果:享乐采样使虚假信念在富含奖励食物环境中持续存在
Niklas Pivecka,Sonja Kunz,Arnd Florack
Niklas Pivecka
Existing research explains the widespread belief that unhealthy food is tastier than healthy food by how food is portrayed in the media and social networks and by the notion that food cannot serve two purposes (health and pleasure) at the s...
From clicks to curiosity: Exploring self-directed information seeking as a behavioral manifestation of curiosity [0.03%]
从点击到好奇:探索自我导向的信息搜寻作为一种行为表现形式的好奇心研究
Aki Schumacher,Markus W H Spitzer,Hayley K Jach et al.
Aki Schumacher et al.
Information seeking as a behavioral manifestation of curiosity has often been captured with experimental tasks that explicitly prompt information seeking instead of capturing participants' self-initiated exploratory behaviors. This online s...
Deciphering the dynamic influence of competing job offers on recruiters' hiring decisions [0.03%]
揭秘竞争性工作报价对招聘者聘用决定的动态影响
Lifeng Yang,Haoyu Liu,Duane T Wegener
Lifeng Yang
This research investigates the impact of competing job offers on recruiters' hiring inclination toward the best available candidate. Across five studies, we explored how knowledge of such offers influences recruiters' decision making and sh...
Critical thinking classes can reduce common biases: Results from a field experiment [0.03%]
批判性思维课程可以减少常见偏见:一项实地实验的结果
Michael Bishop,Adam Feltz,Paul Conway
Michael Bishop
Critical thinking classes are ubiquitous in U.S. college curricula. One of their aims is to teach good reasoning skills. To date, there is little systematic evidence that they do this. We report the results of a field experiment (N = 397) t...
Do individuals selectively apply their scientific reasoning ability when communicating about scientific evidence on polarized topics? [0.03%]
个体在交流有争议的科学证据时会灵活运用自己的科学推理能力吗?
Caitlin Drummond Otten,Stephanie M Anglin,Stephen B Broomell
Caitlin Drummond Otten
Classical research on motivated reasoning finds that prior beliefs can influence how people use their reasoning ability in a directional manner, making them more likely to arrive at belief-consistent conclusions. Recent research has tested ...