Partitioning the Expected Value of Countermeasures with an Application to Terrorism [0.03%]
具有反恐应用的对策期望值划分理论
Richard S John,Robin L Dillon,William J Burns et al.
Richard S John et al.
Benefit-cost analyses are critical to support U.S. agencies' programmatic decision making. These analyses are particularly challenging when one of the benefits is adversary deterrence. This paper presents a framework for calculating the val...
Daniella Meeker,Christin Thompson,Greg Strylewicz et al.
Daniella Meeker et al.
The success of extended warranties and buyer protection plans suggests that insurance against a small loss has high decision utility. We explore whether the behavioral insight that people are highly averse to small chances of loss can be us...
Optimal Policies for Reducing Unnecessary Follow-up Mammography Exams in Breast Cancer Diagnosis [0.03%]
降低乳腺癌诊断中不必要的复查 mammography 检查的最优策略
Oguzhan Alagoz,Jagpreet Chhatwal,Elizabeth S Burnside
Oguzhan Alagoz
Mammography is the most effective screening tool for early diagnosis of breast cancer. Based on the mammography findings, radiologists need to choose from one of the following three alternatives: 1) take immediate diagnostic actions includi...
Péter Hudomiet,Robert J Willis
Péter Hudomiet
Based on subjective survival probability questions in the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), we use an econometric model to estimate the determinants of individual-level uncertainty about personal longevity. This model is built around the m...