A simple planning problem for COVID-19 lockdown: a dynamic programming approach [0.03%]
一种与COVID-19封锁有关的简单规划问题：动态规划方法
Alessandro Calvia,Fausto Gozzi,Francesco Lippi et al.
Alessandro Calvia et al.
A large number of recent studies consider a compartmental SIR model to study optimal control policies aimed at containing the diffusion of COVID-19 while minimizing the economic costs of preventive measures. Such problems are non-convex and...
Stochastic disease spreading and containment policies under state-dependent probabilities [0.03%]
基于状态依赖概率的随机传染病传播及控制政策研究
Davide La Torre,Simone Marsiglio,Franklin Mendivil et al.
Davide La Torre et al.
We analyze the role of disease containment policy in the form of treatment in a stochastic economic-epidemiological framework in which the probability of the occurrence of random shocks is state-dependent, namely it is related to the level ...
Nina Bobkova,Ying Chen,Hülya Eraslan
Nina Bobkova
We consider optimal group testing of individuals with heterogeneous risks for an infectious disease. Our algorithm significantly reduces the number of tests needed compared to Dorfman (Ann Math Stat 14(4):436-440, 1943). When both low-risk ...
Giorgio Fabbri,Salvatore Federico,Davide Fiaschi et al.
Giorgio Fabbri et al.
We propose a model, which nests a susceptible-infected-recovered-deceased (SIRD) epidemic model into a dynamic macroeconomic equilibrium framework with agents' mobility. The latter affect both their income and their probability of infecting...
Salvatore Federico,Giorgio Ferrari,Maria-Laura Torrente
Salvatore Federico
We propose and solve an optimal vaccination problem within a deterministic compartmental model of SIRS type: the immunized population can become susceptible again, e.g. because of a not complete immunization power of the vaccine. A social p...
Aditya Goenka,Lin Liu,Manh-Hung Nguyen
Aditya Goenka
This paper studies continuing optimal lockdowns (can also be interpreted as quarantines or self-isolation) in the long run if a disease (Covid-19) is endemic and immunity can fail, that is, the disease has SIRS dynamics. We model how diseas...
Natali Hritonenko,Yuri Yatsenko
Natali Hritonenko
We analyze the optimal lockdown in an economic-epidemic model with realistic infectiveness distribution. The model is described by Volterra integral equations and accurately depicts the COVID-19 infectivity pattern from clinical data. A max...
Alexander Tarasov,Robertas Zubrickas
Alexander Tarasov
This paper is concerned with cross-dependencies between endogenous market structure and tax policy. We extend the Mirrlees (Rev Econ Stud 38:175-208, 1971) model of income taxation with a monopolistic competition framework with general addi...
Rather doomed than uncertain: risk attitudes and transmissive behavior under asymptomatic infection [0.03%]
宁可注定失败不可不确定：无症状感染下的风险态度及传染行为研究
Konstantin Matthies,Flavio Toxvaerd
Konstantin Matthies
We analyze the relation between individuals' risk aversion and their willingness to expose themselves to infection when faced with an asymptomatic infectious disease. We show that in a high prevalence environment, increasing individuals' ri...
Lorenzo Bastianello,José Heleno Faro,Ana Santos
Lorenzo Bastianello
A group of experts, for instance climate scientists, is to advise a decision maker about the choice between two policies f and g. Consider the following decision rule. If all experts agree that the expected utility of f is higher than the e...