Strengthening a Weak Link: Transparency of Causal Loop Diagrams, Current State and Recommendation [0.03%]
强化薄弱环节：因果回路图的透明性现状及建议
Mohammad S Jalali,Elizabeth Beaulieu
Mohammad S Jalali
Transparency is a critical aspect of systems science. While transparency of quantitative models has been assessed, transparency of their qualitative structures has been less scrutinized. We assess the transparency of causal loop diagrams (C...
Pablo Newberry,Neil Carhart
Pablo Newberry
"Tackling the Root Causes Upstream of Unhealth Urban Development" is a trans-disciplinary research project seeking to map and understand urban development decision-making, visualise stakeholder mental models and codevelop improvement interv...
Dealing with soft variables and data scarcity: lessons learnt from quantification in a participatory system dynamics modelling process [0.03%]
处理软变量和数据稀缺问题：从参与式系统动力学建模过程中的量化工作中吸取的教训
Irene Pluchinotta,Ke Zhou,Nici Zimmermann
Irene Pluchinotta
System dynamics (SD) models are commonly used for structuring complex problems to support decision-making. They are used to investigate areas in which limited knowledge is available, describing nonlinear relationships and including intangib...
Grounding alcohol simulation models in empirical and theoretical alcohol research: a model for a Northern Plains population in the United States [0.03%]
基于美国北部平原人群的实证和理论酒精研究建立酒精模拟模型
Arielle R Deutsch,Edward Chau,Nikki Motabar et al.
Arielle R Deutsch et al.
The growing number of systems science simulation models for alcohol use (AU) are often disconnected from AU models within empirical and theoretical alcohol research. As AU prevention/intervention efforts are typically grounded in alcohol re...
Hazhir Rahmandad,John Sterman
Hazhir Rahmandad
Eradication of COVID-19 is out of reach. Are we close to a "new normal" in which people can leave behind restrictive non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) yet face a tolerable burden of disease? The answer depends on the ongoing risks ver...
Behavioral responses to risk promote vaccinating high-contact individuals first [0.03%]
行为反应促进首先为高接触人群接种疫苗
Hazhir Rahmandad
Hazhir Rahmandad
How should communities prioritize COVID-19 vaccinations? Prior studies found that prioritizing the elderly and most vulnerable minimizes deaths. However, prior research has ignored how behavioral responses to risk of disease endogenously ch...
Planning, implementing, and evaluating an online group-model-building workshop during the COVID-19 pandemic: celebrating successes and learning from shortcomings [0.03%]
新冠肺炎疫情期间在线小组模型构建研讨会的规划、实施和评估：庆祝成功并吸取教训
Kyrah K Brown,Michael Kenneth Lemke,Saeideh Fallah-Fini et al.
Kyrah K Brown et al.
Using integrated modeling to support the global eradication of vaccine-preventable diseases [0.03%]
利用整合模型来促进根除可以由疫苗预防的疾病全球性工作
Radboud J Duintjer Tebbens,Kimberly M Thompson
Radboud J Duintjer Tebbens
The long-term management of global disease eradication initiatives involves numerous inherently dynamic processes, health and economic trade-offs, significant uncertainty and variability, rare events with big consequences, complex and inter...
Behavioral dynamics of COVID-19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations [0.03%]
COVID-19的行为动态：估计92个国家的欠报、多波疫情和遵守疲劳
Hazhir Rahmandad,Tse Yang Lim,John Sterman
Hazhir Rahmandad
Effective responses to the COVID-19 pandemic require integrating behavioral factors such as risk-driven contact reduction, improved treatment, and adherence fatigue with asymptomatic transmission, disease acuity, and hospital capacity. We b...
Moving online: reflections from conducting system dynamics workshops in virtual settings [0.03%]
走向线上：在线系统动力学工作坊的思考与启示
Nici Zimmermann,Irene Pluchinotta,Giuseppe Salvia et al.
Nici Zimmermann et al.