Anton Kühberger,Dagmara Komunska,Josef Perner
Anton Kühberger
One of the basic axioms of the rational theory of decision under uncertainty is Savage's (1954) Sure Thing Principle. It states that if Prospect x is preferred to Prospect y knowing that Event A occurred, and if x is preferred to y knowing ...
Does Time Constraint on Users Negate the Efficacy of Decision Support Systems? [0.03%]
用户的时间限制会否定决策支持系统的有效性吗?
P. C. Chu,Eric E. Spires
P. C. Chu
Time constraint can impair decision performance: time-constrained decision makers process information faster, process less information, and use less rigorous decision strategies. On the other hand, properly designed decision support systems...
Richard Coughlan,Terry Connolly
Richard Coughlan
In decisions under uncertainty, decision makers confront two uncertainties: the uncertain linkage between actions and outcomes and the uncertain linkage between these outcomes and his or her affective responses to them. The two studies repo...
Primacy Effects in Justice Judgments: Testing Predictions from Fairness Heuristic Theory [0.03%]
正义判断中的首位效应:公平启发式理论的实证检验
E. Allan Lind,Laura Kray,Leigh Thompson
E. Allan Lind
We tested predictions from fairness heuristic theory that justice judgments are more sensitive to early fairness-relevant information than to later fairness-relevant information and that this primacy effect is more evident when group identi...
The Role of Inferences in Sequential Bargaining with One-Sided Incomplete Information: Some Experimental Evidence [0.03%]
关于单方信息不完整条件下的顺序谈判中推理作用的实验证据
Joydeep Srivastava
Joydeep Srivastava
Two experiments tested a sequential bargaining model with one-sided incomplete information and time discounting. The findings suggest that although the comparative statics of the normative model are somewhat descriptive of the qualitative f...
Amnon Rapoport,Wing Tung Au
Amnon Rapoport
Common pool resource (CPR) dilemmas constitute a class of social dilemmas in which equilibrium behavior results in Pareto deficient outcomes that are not at all desirable by the group. We focus on a class of CPR dilemmas that, in addition t...
The Influence of Alternative Outcomes on Gut-Level Perceptions of Certainty [0.03%]
有关替代结果对直觉确定性感知的影响的研究
Paul D. Windschitl,Michael E. Young
Paul D. Windschitl
Recent research has demonstrated that the perceived certainty of a focal outcome depends not only on the overall amount of evidence supporting the alternatives to the focal outcome, but also on how that evidence is distributed across those ...
When Equal Chances = Good Chances: Verbal Probabilities and the Equiprobability Effect [0.03%]
当平等的机会等于好的机会:语言概率与等概率效应
Karl Halvor Teigen
Karl Halvor Teigen
When six equally qualified candidates compete for the same position, p = 1/6 for each. People seem to accept this principle more readily for numerical than for verbal probabilities. Equal chances with three to six alternatives are often ver...
Gain-Loss Framing and Choice: Separating Outcome Formulations from Descriptor Formulations [0.03%]
得失框架与选择:分离结果阐述与描述阐述
David R. Mandel
David R. Mandel
This article reexamines the assumptions underlying the disease problem used by Tversky and Kahneman (1981) to illustrate gain-loss formulation effects. It is argued that their reported effect may have been due to asymmetries in the ambiguit...
Howard J. Klein,Michael J. Wesson,John R. Hollenbeck et al.
Howard J. Klein et al.
Goals are central to current treatments of work motivation, and goal commitment is a critical construct in understanding the relationship between goals and performance. Inconsistency in the measurement of goal commitment hindered early rese...