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Infectious Disease Modelling. 2025 May 27;10(4):1019-1036. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2025.05.009 Q22.52025

The role of spontaneous clearance on fractional analysis of HBV

自发清除率在HBV分数学分析中的作用 翻译改进

O Y Oludoun  1, O Abiodun  2, B Gbadamosi  2, J K Oladejo  3, E I Akinola  1, O N Emuoyibofarhe  4, O Adebimpe  2

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作者单位

  • 1 Department of Mathematics, Bowen University, Iwo, Nigeria.
  • 2 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, First Technical University, Oyo State, Nigeria.
  • 3 Department of Mathematics, Ladoke Akintola University of Technology, Ogbomoso, Nigeria.
  • 4 Department of Computer Science, Bowen University, Iwo, Nigeria.
  • DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2025.05.009 PMID: 40520250

    摘要 中英对照阅读

    Hepatitis B virus (HBV) remains a persistent global health concern, with recent research advancing our understanding of its transmission dynamics and potential interventions.The present study proposes a mathematical model of Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) epidemics using fractional calculus, with a special emphasis on the influence of spontaneous clearance across diverse population groups. Using the Atangana-Baleanu derivative, the model accounts for the complications of vertical and horizontal transmission, therapy, immunisation, and spontaneous clearance. Numerical simulations with different fractional orders demonstrate how spontaneous clearance affects the dynamics of susceptible, chronic, treated, and recovered populations. The findings indicate that in vulnerable populations, increasing spontaneous clearance reduces vulnerability because people either clear the illness naturally or gain resistance.However, in chronic populations, spontaneous clearance is insufficient for complete recovery without treatment. The combination of therapy and spontaneous clearance improves the treated population, demonstrating the beneficial effects of both medical intervention and natural immunity. Furthermore, increased spontaneous clearance boosts the restored population, demonstrating the immune system's ability to eliminate the virus over time. The fractional-order framework captures the memory effect of illness development, revealing how healing is time-dependent and how immune responses have a long-term impact. This study emphasises the need of combining spontaneous clearance with medical therapies to improve HBV management and public health consequences. Hepatitis B virus (HBV) remains a persistent global health concern, with recent research advancing our understanding of its transmission dynamics and potential interventions. This study presents a fractional mathematical model of HBV infection, employing the Atangana-Baleanu derivative with Mittag-Leffler kernels to capture memory-dependent and nonlocal transmission processes. The model integrates vertical and horizontal transmission pathways, treatment strategies, immunization efforts, and spontaneous clearance, providing a nuanced perspective compared to classical models. Stability conditions are analyzed through fixed-point theory, revealing the global stability of both disease-free and endemic states under specific values of the basic reproduction number R 0. Numerical simulations demonstrate the model's effectiveness in capturing the complex dynamics of HBV, with fractional-order parameters enhancing prediction accuracy. This approach offers valuable insights into optimizing public health interventions and treatment strategies for managing HBV infections effectively.

    Keywords: Basic reproduction number; Fixed point theory; Fractal fractional model; Hepatitis B virus; Memory-dependent; Stability.

    Keywords:spontaneous clearance; hbv fractional analysis

    乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)仍然是一个持久的全球卫生问题,最近的研究加深了我们对其传播动力学和潜在干预措施的理解。本研究提出了一种使用分数阶微积分建模的乙型肝炎病毒感染数学模型,并特别强调自发清除在不同人群中的影响。该模型采用Atangana-Baleanu导数,考虑了垂直和水平传播、治疗、免疫接种以及自发清除的复杂性。不同的分数阶数值模拟展示了自发清除如何影响易感者、慢性感染者、接受治疗者和康复者的动态变化。研究发现表明,在脆弱人群中,增加自发清除可以降低其易感性,因为人们要么自然清除了病毒,要么获得了抵抗力。然而,在慢性感染群体中,仅靠自发清除不足以实现完全恢复,需要结合医学干预。治疗与自发清除的结合改善了接受治疗的人群状况,展示了医疗介入和自然免疫的有益效果。此外,增加自发清除提升了康复人群的比例,表明随着时间推移免疫系统能够消除病毒的能力。分数阶框架捕捉了疾病发展中的记忆效应,揭示了治愈的时间依赖性以及长期的免疫反应影响。该研究强调结合自发清除与医学疗法对于改善HBV管理及公共卫生结果的重要性。

    关键词:基本再生数;不动点理论;分形分数模型;乙型肝炎病毒;记忆依赖性;稳定性。

    © 2025 The Authors.

    关键词:自发清除

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    期刊名:Infectious disease modelling

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    ISSN:N/A

    e-ISSN:2468-0427

    IF/分区:2.5/Q2

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