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Journal of clinical nursing. 2025 May 20. doi: 10.1111/jocn.17713 Q13.52024

The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) Predicts the 28-Day Mortality in Patients With Severe Fever With Thrombocytopenia Syndrome: A Cross-Sectional Study

国家预警评分(NEWS)可预测发热伴血小板减少综合征患者28天死亡率:一项横断面研究 翻译改进

Tianshu Mei  1, Ying Xia  1, Ping Huang  1, Yali Xiong  2, Yiwen Weng  3, Zhonghai Wei  4, Fei He  1

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作者单位

  • 1 Department of Emergency Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, China.
  • 2 Department of Infectious Disease, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, China.
  • 3 Internal Medicine Department, Chengdu Jinniu District People's Hospital, Chengdu, China.
  • 4 Department of Cardiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, China.
  • DOI: 10.1111/jocn.17713 PMID: 40390680

    摘要 中英对照阅读

    Objective: To investigate the association between the New Early Warning Score (NEWS) and 28-day mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS).

    Design: A cross-sectional derivation and validation study.

    Methods: A total of 382 SFTS patients were included in retrospective and prospective studies. The primary outcome was short-term (28-day) mortality. Cox regression, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and Kaplan-Meier analysis were utilised in the retrospective study to assess the association between NEWS and mortality. The prospective study assessed the applicability of the NEWS.

    Reporting method: This study was reported in accordance with the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines.

    Results: Among 219 SFTS patients in the retrospective study, 27 (12.3%) died within 28 days. NEWS was significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors (4.00 [1.00, 5.00] vs. 1.00 [1.00, 2.00]). The ROC curve for MEWS predicting 28-day mortality showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.757 (95% confidence interval: 0.65-0.87), with a cut-off of 3.5 (sensitivity: 90.6%; specificity: 55.6%). SFTS patients were stratified into low (NEWS < 4), medium (NEWS 4-6), and high (NEWS > 6) risk groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly lower survival rates in medium and high risk groups compared to the low risk group. The prospective study included 63 SFTS patients, of whom 11 (17.5%) died. 28-day mortality significantly increased across NEWS categories: [low risk (4/50, 8.0%), medium risk (4/8, 50.0%), high risk (3/5, 60.0%)].

    Conclusions: NEWS was a quicker, simpler, and valuable parameter to identify SFTS patients at risk of 28-day mortality.

    Relevance to clinical practice: An elevated NEWS at admission is associated with a higher risk of poor short-term prognosis in SFTS patients. Incorporating NEWS into emergency nursing practice may aid in the early identification of SFTS patients at risk of adverse prognosis.

    Patient or public contribution: Emergency nurses performed the NEWS for the SFTS patients at admission.

    Keywords: mortality; new early warning score; predictive performance; severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.

    Keywords:national early warning score; news; mortality prediction; cross-sectional study

    目标: 研究新早期预警评分(NEWS)与发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)患者28天死亡率之间的关联。

    设计: 一项横断面的派生和验证研究。

    方法: 回顾性和前瞻性研究共纳入382名SFTS患者。主要结局是短期(28天)死亡率。回顾性研究利用Cox回归、受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)和Kaplan-Meier分析评估NEWS与死亡率之间的关联。前瞻性研究评估了NEWS的适用性。

    报告方法: 该研究遵循流行病学观察性研究加强报告规范(STROBE)指南进行报告。

    结果: 回顾性研究中的219名SFTS患者中,有27人(12.3%)在28天内死亡。非幸存者组的NEWS评分显著高于幸存者组(4.00 [1.00, 5.00] vs. 1.00 [1.00, 2.00])。MEWS预测28天死亡率的ROC曲线显示曲线下面积(AUC)为0.757(95%置信区间:0.65-0.87),临界值为3.5(敏感性:90.6%;特异性:55.6%)。SFTS患者被分为低风险(NEWS 6)组。Kaplan-Meier分析显示,与低风险组相比,中等风险组和高风险组的生存率显著较低。前瞻性研究纳入了63名SFTS患者,其中11人(17.5%)死亡。不同NEWS类别的28天死亡率显著增加:[低风险(4/50, 8.0%),中等风险(4/8, 50.0%),高风险(3/5, 60.0%)]。

    结论: NEWS是快速、简单且有价值的参数,用于识别有28天死亡风险的SFTS患者。

    临床实践相关性: 入院时升高的NEWS与SFTS患者的不良短期预后风险增加有关。将NEWS纳入急诊护理实践中可能有助于早期识别具有不利预后的SFTS患者。

    病人或公众贡献: 急诊护士在患者入院时为SFTS患者进行了NEWS评分。

    关键词: 死亡率;新早期预警评分;预测性能;发热伴血小板减少综合征。

    关键词:国家早期预警评分; NEWS; 死亡预测; 横断面研究

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    期刊名:Journal of clinical nursing

    缩写:J CLIN NURS

    ISSN:0962-1067

    e-ISSN:1365-2702

    IF/分区:3.5/Q1

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    The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) Predicts the 28-Day Mortality in Patients With Severe Fever With Thrombocytopenia Syndrome: A Cross-Sectional Study