Objective: To investigate the association between the New Early Warning Score (NEWS) and 28-day mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS).
Design: A cross-sectional derivation and validation study.
Methods: A total of 382 SFTS patients were included in retrospective and prospective studies. The primary outcome was short-term (28-day) mortality. Cox regression, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and Kaplan-Meier analysis were utilised in the retrospective study to assess the association between NEWS and mortality. The prospective study assessed the applicability of the NEWS.
Reporting method: This study was reported in accordance with the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines.
Results: Among 219 SFTS patients in the retrospective study, 27 (12.3%) died within 28 days. NEWS was significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors (4.00 [1.00, 5.00] vs. 1.00 [1.00, 2.00]). The ROC curve for MEWS predicting 28-day mortality showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.757 (95% confidence interval: 0.65-0.87), with a cut-off of 3.5 (sensitivity: 90.6%; specificity: 55.6%). SFTS patients were stratified into low (NEWS < 4), medium (NEWS 4-6), and high (NEWS > 6) risk groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly lower survival rates in medium and high risk groups compared to the low risk group. The prospective study included 63 SFTS patients, of whom 11 (17.5%) died. 28-day mortality significantly increased across NEWS categories: [low risk (4/50, 8.0%), medium risk (4/8, 50.0%), high risk (3/5, 60.0%)].
Conclusions: NEWS was a quicker, simpler, and valuable parameter to identify SFTS patients at risk of 28-day mortality.
Relevance to clinical practice: An elevated NEWS at admission is associated with a higher risk of poor short-term prognosis in SFTS patients. Incorporating NEWS into emergency nursing practice may aid in the early identification of SFTS patients at risk of adverse prognosis.
Patient or public contribution: Emergency nurses performed the NEWS for the SFTS patients at admission.
Keywords: mortality; new early warning score; predictive performance; severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.
© 2025 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.