首页 文献索引 SCI期刊 AI助手
登录 注册
首页 正文

Journal of forecasting. 1991 Jul;10(4):371-98. doi: 10.1002/for.3980100403 Q23.42024

The impact of forecasting methodology on the accuracy of national population forecasts: evidence from the Netherlands and Czechoslovakia

预测方法对国家人口预测准确性的影响:来自荷兰和捷克斯洛伐克的证据 翻译改进

N Keilman, T Kucera

作者单位 +展开

作者单位

DOI: 10.1002/for.3980100403 PMID: 12285050

摘要 Ai翻译

"This study considers the accuracy of national population forecasts of the Netherlands and the Czechoslovak Socialist Republic.... We look at the demographic components employed in each forecast, the procedure to extrapolate fertility and the level at which assumptions for each component are formulated. Errors in total population size, fertility, mortality and foreign migration, and age structure are considered. We discuss trends in errors and methodology since 1950 and compare the situations in the two countries. The findings suggest that methodology has only a very limited impact on the accuracy of national population forecasts."

Keywords:forecasting methodology; population forecasts; netherlands; czechoslovakia

Copyright © Journal of forecasting. 中文内容为AI机器翻译,仅供参考!

相关内容

期刊名:Journal of forecasting

缩写:

ISSN:0277-6693

e-ISSN:1099-131X

IF/分区:3.4/Q2

文章目录 更多期刊信息

全文链接
引文链接
复制
已复制!
推荐内容
The impact of forecasting methodology on the accuracy of national population forecasts: evidence from the Netherlands and Czechoslovakia