1,000,000 cases of COVID-19 outside of China: The date predicted by a simple heuristic [0.03%]
十万八千里:一个简单的启发法预测COVID-19确诊病例将在何时达到十万例
W W Koczkodaj,M A Mansournia,W Pedrycz et al.
W W Koczkodaj et al.
We forecast 1,000,000 COVID-19 cases outside of China by March 31st, 2020 based on a heuristic and WHO situation reports. We do not model the COVID-19 pandemic; we model only the number of cases. The proposed heuristic is based on a simple ...