Stochastic modeling of empirical time series of childhood infectious diseases data before and after mass vaccination [0.03%]
群体免疫接种前后的儿童传染病经验时间序列的随机建模
Helen Trottier,Pierre Philippe,Roch Roy
Helen Trottier
The goal of this paper is to analyze the stochastic dynamics of childhood infectious disease time series. We present an univariate time series analysis of pertussis, mumps, measles and rubella based on Box-Jenkins or AutoRegressive Integrat...
Michael Höfler
Michael Höfler
In their commentary on my paper Phillips and Goodman suggested that counterfactual causality and considerations on causality like those by Bradford Hill are only "guideposts on the road to common sense". I argue that if common sense is unde...
Non-differential measurement error does not always bias diagnostic likelihood ratios towards the null [0.03%]
非差分测量误差并不总是使诊断似然比偏向无效假设方向biasing
G T Fosgate
G T Fosgate
Diagnostic test evaluations are susceptible to random and systematic error. Simulated non-differential random error for six different error distributions was evaluated for its effect on measures of diagnostic accuracy for a brucellosis comp...
Regression analysis with categorized regression calibrated exposure: some interesting findings [0.03%]
关于分类暴露的回归校正回归分析及其有趣发现
Ingvild Dalen,John P Buonaccorsi,Petter Laake et al.
Ingvild Dalen et al.
Background: Regression calibration as a method for handling measurement error is becoming increasingly well-known and used in epidemiologic research. However, the standard version of the method is not appropriate for expo...
Causal criteria and counterfactuals; nothing more (or less) than scientific common sense [0.03%]
因果标准与反事实；不过是一种（科学常识）而已
Carl V Phillips,Karen J Goodman
Carl V Phillips
Two persistent myths in epidemiology are that we can use a list of "causal criteria" to provide an algorithmic approach to inferring causation and that a modern "counterfactual model" can assist in the same endeavor. We argue that these are...
Laura Cacciani,Giovanni Baglio,Lorenza Rossi et al.
Laura Cacciani et al.
Background: Immigration is increasing in Italy. In 2003, 2.6 million foreign citizens lived in the country; 52% were men and the majority were young adults who migrated for work. The purpose of this study was to investiga...
The basic principles of migration health: population mobility and gaps in disease prevalence [0.03%]
移民卫生的基本原则：人口流动与疾病患病率差异
Brian D Gushulak,Douglas W MacPherson
Brian D Gushulak
Currently, migrants and other mobile individuals, such as migrant workers and asylum seekers, are an expanding global population of growing social, demographic and political importance. Disparities often exist between a migrant population's...
Sib-recruitment for studying migration and its impact on obesity and diabetes [0.03%]
利用亲属招募研究移民及其对肥胖和糖尿病的影响
Tanica Lyngdoh,Sanjay Kinra,Yoav Ben Shlomo et al.
Tanica Lyngdoh et al.
Background: Urban-rural comparisons are of limited relevance in examining the effects of urban migration in developing countries where urbanisation is due to growth of existing urban populations, expansion of urban bounda...
Two Surgeon General's reports on smoking and cancer: a historical investigation of the practice of causal inference [0.03%]
对吸烟和癌症关系的两项《 surgeon general报告》的历史考察：因果推断实践的视角
Mark Parascandola,Douglas L Weed,Abhijit Dasgupta
Mark Parascandola
Background: The epidemiologic literature is replete with conceptual discussions about causal inference, but little is known about how the causal criteria are applied in public health practice. The criteria for causal infe...
AIDS, conflict and the media in Africa: risks in reporting bad data badly [0.03%]
艾滋病、冲突与非洲媒体：报道不良数据带来的风险
Massimo Lowicki-Zucca,Paul Spiegel,Filippo Ciantia
Massimo Lowicki-Zucca
Background: Conflict, poverty and HIV disproportionately affect people in sub-Saharan Africa. The manner in which governments, national and international organisations and the media report on the HIV epidemic in situation...