Estimating trends in the total fertility rate with uncertainty using imperfect data: Examples from West Africa [0.03%]
利用不完整数据估计总生育率及其不确定性——西非示例分析
Leontine Alkema,Adrian E Raftery,Patrick Gerland et al.
Leontine Alkema et al.
Background: Estimating the total fertility rate is challenging for many developing countries because of limited data and varying data quality. A standardized, reproducible approach to produce estimates that include an unc...
Estimates of age-specific reductions in HIV prevalence in Uganda: Bayesian melding estimation and probabilistic population forecast with an HIV-enabled cohort component projection model [0.03%]
乌干达各年龄组艾滋病毒流行率降低估计：贝叶斯融合估算和具备艾滋病功能的队列成分预测模型的概率人口预测
Samuel J Clark,Jason R Thomas,Le Bao
Samuel J Clark
Background: Much of our knowledge of the epidemiology and demography of HIV epidemics in Africa is derived from models fit to sparse, non-representative data. These often average over age and other important dimensions, r...
Jennifer Van Hook,James D Bachmeier
Jennifer Van Hook
Background: Citizenship status among the foreign born is a crucial indicator of social and political incorporation, yet there are good reasons to suspect that citizenship status is inaccurately reported on U.S. surveys. ...
Does the Orphan Disadvantage "Spill Over?" An analysis of whether living in an area with a higher concentration of orphans is associated with children's school enrollment in sub-Saharan Africa [0.03%]
孤儿不利因素“溢出”效应存在吗？——基于东非地区儿童就学与所在区域孤儿集中度之间关系的分析
Emily Smith-Greenaway,Jessica Heckert
Emily Smith-Greenaway
Background: Despite considerable concern regarding the social consequences of sub-Saharan Africa's high orphan prevalence, no research investigates how living in a community densely populated with orphans is more broadly ...
Arthur Roger Thatcher's contributions to longevity research: A Reflexion [0.03%]
亚瑟·罗杰·撒切尔对长寿研究的贡献：一次回顾性思考
Jean-Marie Robine,Siu Lan K Cheung,Shiro Horiuchi
Jean-Marie Robine
A Roger Thatcher,Siu Lan K Cheung,Shiro Horiuchi et al.
A Roger Thatcher et al.
Kannisto (2001) has shown that as the frequency distribution of ages at death has shifted to the right, the age distribution of deaths above the modal age has become more compressed. In order to further investigate this old-age mortality co...
Noriko O Tsuya,Larry L Bumpass,Minja Kim Choe et al.
Noriko O Tsuya et al.
The paper examines changes in the relationship between employment and household tasks of Japanese couples, using data drawn from national cross-sectional surveys in 1994, 2000 and 2009 of persons aged 20-49 and from the 2009 follow-up of th...
The Interplay of Employment Uncertainty and Education in explaining Second Births in Europe [0.03%]
就业不稳定性和教育在解释欧洲二孩生育率中的相互作用
Alicia Adsera
Alicia Adsera
This paper analyzes how labor market instability since the late 1980s in Europe mediated decisions to second births. In particular, it examines which are the dimensions of economic uncertainty that affect women with different educational ba...
Ivy A Kodzi,David R Johnson,John B Casterline
Ivy A Kodzi
Despite extensive research, doubts remain regarding the degree of correspondence between prior stated fertility preferences and subsequent fertility behavior. Preference instability is a factor that potentially undermines predictiveness. Fu...
The Decline of Son Preference and Rise of Gender Indifference in Taiwan Since 1990 [0.03%]
台湾地区自1990年以来的重男轻女观念减弱和性别 indifferent 上升
Tin-Chi Lin
Tin-Chi Lin
This study explores the change of married women's sex preference for children in Taiwan since 1990, finding that there was a substantial decline of son preference and rise of "gender indifference", defined as feeling indifferent about child...