Locally dependent latent class models with covariates: an application to under-age drinking in the USA [0.03%]
带有协变量的局部相关潜在类别模型及在美国未成年人饮酒问题中的应用
Beth A Reboussin,Edward H Ip,Mark Wolfson
Beth A Reboussin
Under-age drinking is a long-standing public health problem in the USA and the identification of underage drinkers suffering alcohol-related problems has been difficult by using diagnostic criteria that were developed in adult populations. ...
The spatial structure of epidemic emergence: geographical aspects of poliomyelitis in north-eastern USA, July-October 1916 [0.03%]
1916年7月至10月美国东北部地方性流行病出现的空间结构：脊髓灰质炎的地理学方面
Barry Trevelyan,Matthew Smallman-Raynor,Andrew D Cliff
Barry Trevelyan
The great epidemic of poliomyelitis which swept New York City and surrounding territory in the summer of 1916 eclipsed all previous global experience of the disease. We draw on epidemiological information that is included in the seminal US ...
J J Brown,I D Diamond,R L Chambers et al.
J J Brown et al.
"As a result of lessons learnt from the 1991 [U.K.] census, a research programme was set up to seek improvements in census methodology. Underenumeration has been placed top of the agenda in this programme, and every effort is being made to ...
Modelling human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immune deficiency syndrome cases in Scotland: data sources, prior information and Bayesian estimation [0.03%]
人类免疫缺陷病毒感染和获得性免疫缺陷综合征病例的建模：数据来源、先验信息和贝叶斯估计
G M Raab,S Yang,G Allardice et al.
G M Raab et al.
"The paper describes the methodology developed to carry out predictions of the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) epidemic in Scotland. Information on the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic comes from formal case reports of...
The determinants of infant mortality in Malaysia: a graphical chain modelling approach [0.03%]
马来西亚婴儿死亡率的决定因素：图形链模型方法
W N Mohamed,I Diamond,P W Smith
W N Mohamed
"A graphical chain modelling approach is used to study the determinants of neonatal and post-neonatal mortality in Malaysia. This approach provides an easily interpretable empirical description and illustrates explicitly the conditional ind...
S Haberman,M Schmool
S Haberman
"During the 20th century, estimates of the British Jewish population have been obtained by applying appropriate death-rates to communal mortality data. This death-rate method has become increasingly sophisticated with respect to the death-r...
Acquired immune deficiency syndrome predictions for England and Wales (1992-97): sensitivity analysis, information, decision [0.03%]
英国和威尔士艾滋病（1992～1997）预测：敏感性分析、信息和决策
N E Day,S M Gore,D De Angelis
N E Day
Some implications of the use of the back-calculation method for estimating future trends in HIV infections and AIDS incidence in England and Wales are explored. "This paper explores in...detail some aspects of the latest projections which h...
Does social mobility affect the size of the socioeconomic mortality differential?: evidence from the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study [0.03%]
社会流动性会影响经济社会地位的死亡率差异吗？——来自英国国家统计局纵向研究的证据
D Blane,S Harding,M Rosato
D Blane
"The effect of social mobility on the socioeconomic differential in mortality is examined with data from the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study. The analyses involve 46,980 men aged 45-64 years in 1981. The mortality risk of ...
The long-term pattern of adult mortality and the highest attained age [0.03%]
成人死亡率的长期模式和最高寿命 достижения и максимально достигнутый возраст
A R Thatcher
A R Thatcher
"Recent new data on old age mortality point to a particular model for the way in which the probability of dying increases with age. The model is found to fit not only modern data but also some widely spaced historical data for the 19th and ...
J M Alho
J M Alho
This study is concerned with the methods available for the forecasting of future trends in the world's population. Particular attention is given to the problem of the uncertainties that these forecasts include. "The purpose of this paper is...