Mortality containment vs. Economics Opening: Optimal policies in a SEIARD model [0.03%]
控制死亡率与经济复苏：SEIARD模型中的最优政策分析
Andrea Aspri,Elena Beretta,Alberto Gandolfi et al.
Andrea Aspri et al.
We extend the classic approach (SIR) to a SEAIRD model with policy controls. A social planner's objective reflects the trade-off between mortality reduction and GDP, featuring its perception of the value of statistical life (PVSL). We intro...
Optimal age- and sex-based management of the queue to ventilators during the Covid-19 crisis [0.03%]
新冠肺炎疫情期间基于年龄和性别的理想通风管理政策
Noël Bonneuil
Noël Bonneuil
Triage protocols for intensive care units are based on priorities assigned to presents, but ignore patients about to arrive, so a priority newcomer may not find a ventilator and its associated nursing staff available because they are occupi...
Géraldine Bouveret,Antoine Mandel
Géraldine Bouveret
We investigate the containment of epidemic spreading in networks from a normative point of view. We consider a susceptible/infected model in which agents can invest in order to reduce the contagiousness of network links. In this setting, we...
Self-isolation [0.03%]
自我隔离
Dominique Baril-Tremblay,Chantal Marlats,Lucie Ménager
Dominique Baril-Tremblay
We analyze the spread of an infectious disease in a population when individuals strategically choose how much time to interact with others. Individuals are either of the severe type or of the asymptomatic type. Only severe types have sympto...
A rational-choice model of Covid-19 transmission with endogenous quarantining and two-sided prevention [0.03%]
一种包含自愿隔离和双向预防的COVID-19传播理性选择模型
Joydeep Bhattacharya,Shankha Chakraborty,Xiumei Yu
Joydeep Bhattacharya
This paper offers a parsimonious, rational-choice model to study the effect of pre-existing inequalities on the transmission of COVID-19. Agents decide whether to "go out" (or self-quarantine) and, if so, whether to wear protection such as ...
Jonathan P Caulkins,Dieter Grass,Gustav Feichtinger et al.
Jonathan P Caulkins et al.
One of the principal ways nations are responding to the COVID-19 pandemic is by locking down portions of their economies to reduce infectious spread. This is expensive in terms of lost jobs, lost economic productivity, and lost freedoms. So...
Verification results for age-structured models of economic-epidemics dynamics [0.03%]
具有年龄结构的经济流行病学模型的验证结果
Giorgio Fabbri,Fausto Gozzi,Giovanni Zanco
Giorgio Fabbri
In this paper we propose a macro-dynamic age-structured set-up for the analysis of epidemics/economic dynamics in continuous time. The resulting optimal control problem is reformulated in an infinite dimensional Hilbert space framework wher...
Learning versus habit formation: Optimal timing of lockdown for disease containment [0.03%]
学习与习惯形成：疾病控制的最优封锁时机
Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay,Kalyan Chatterjee,Kaustav Das et al.
Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay et al.
We analyze a model where the government has to decide whether to impose a lockdown in a country to prevent the spread of a possibly virulent disease. If the government decides to impose a lockdown, it has to determine its intensity, timing ...
Salvatore Federico,Giorgio Ferrari
Salvatore Federico
We study the problem of a policymaker who aims at taming the spread of an epidemic while minimizing its associated social costs. The main feature of our model lies in the fact that the disease's transmission rate is a diffusive stochastic p...
Michael Kuhn,Stefan Wrzaczek,Alexia Prskawetz et al.
Michael Kuhn et al.
We study socially vs individually optimal life cycle allocations of consumption and health, when individual health care curbs own mortality but also has a spillover effect on other persons' survival. Such spillovers arise, for instance, whe...