Stochastic population forecasts for the United States: beyond high, medium, and low [0.03%]
美国人口预测 stochastic 方法：高、中、低方案之外
R D Lee,S Tuljapurkar
R D Lee
"This article presents and implements a new method for making stochastic population forecasts that provide consistent probability intervals. We blend mathematical demography and statistical time series methods to estimate stochastic models ...
Comparative Study
Journal of the American Statistical Association. 1994 Dec;89(428):1,175-89. DOI: 1994
Regression analysis of current-status data: an application to breast-feeding [0.03%]
当前状况数据的回归分析及其在母乳喂养方面的应用
L M Grummer-strawn
L M Grummer-strawn
"Although techniques for calculating mean survival time from current-status data are well known, their use in multiple regression models is somewhat troublesome. Using data on current breast-feeding behavior, this article considers a number...
Using information from demographic analysis in post-enumeration survey estimation [0.03%]
利用后期逐户调查数据中的信息进行人口推算
W R Bell
W R Bell
"Population estimates from the 1990 Post-Enumeration Survey (PES), used to measure decennial census undercount, were obtained from dual system estimates (DSE's) that assumed independence within strata defined by age-race-sex-geography and o...
M H Mulry,B D Spencer
M H Mulry
"In July 1991 the [U.S.] Census Bureau recommended to its parent agency, the Department of Commerce, that the 1990 census be adjusted for undercount. The Secretary of Commerce decided not to adjust, however. Those decisions relied at least ...
Estimation of population coverage in the 1990 United States census based on demographic analysis [0.03%]
基于人口统计分析的1990年美国普查人口覆盖率估算
J G Robinson,B Ahmed,P Das Gupta et al.
J G Robinson et al.
"This article presents estimates of net coverage of the national population in the 1990 [U.S.] census, based on the method of demographic analysis. The general techniques of demographic analysis as an analytic tool for coverage measurement ...
H Hogan
H Hogan
The author assesses the 1990 Post-Enumeration Survey, which was "designed to produce Census tabulation of [U.S.] states and local areas corrected for the undercount or overcount of population....[He] discusses the process that produced the ...
M H Mulry,B D Spencer
M H Mulry
"We describe a methodology for estimating the accuracy of dual systems estimates (DSE's) of population, census estimates of population, and estimates of undercount in the census. The DSE's are based on the census and a post-enumeration surv...
Adjustment of provisional mortality series: the dynamic linear model with structured measurement errors [0.03%]
暂估死亡率序列的调整：带结构化测量误差的动态线性模型
R H Shumway,M J Katzoff
R H Shumway
The authors "consider the problem of adjusting provisional time series using a bivariate structural model with correlated measurement errors. Maximum likelihood estimators and a minimum mean squared error adjustment procedure are derived fo...
The effects of census undercount adjustment on congressional apportionment [0.03%]
人口普查未计人数调整对国会分配的影响
A L Schirm
A L Schirm
"This article shows that undercount adjustment [of the 1990 U.S. census] will probably reallocate one [in] three House seats across the states. The adjustment's impact may depend on the method used and the assumptions underlying undercount ...
K M Wolter,B D Causey
K M Wolter
"We provide and illustrate methods for evaluating across-the-board ratio estimation and synthetic estimation, two techniques that might be used for improving population estimates for small areas. The methods emphasize determination of a bre...