Technological forecasting and social change文章索引

The macrodynamics of international migration as a sociocultural diffusion process. Part A: theory [0.03%] 国际迁移的宏动力学作为一个社会文化传播过程。A：理论部分

N D Diamantides N D Diamantides

"This study formulates a model of the macrodynamics of international migration using a differential equation to capture the push-pull forces that propel it. The model's architecture rests on the functioning of information feedback between s...

Technological forecasting and social change. 1992 Nov;42(3):273-89. DOI:10.1016/0040-1625(92)90036-s 1992

Resources, population, environment: an oversupply of false bad news [0.03%] 资源、人口、环境：假负面新闻泛滥

J L Simon J L Simon

Technological forecasting and social change. 1981:19:207-25. DOI:10.1016/0040-1625(81)90054-8 1981

People, skills, and resources: an interaction model for world population growth [0.03%] 人口、技能和资源：有关世界人口增长的互动模型

R Taagepera R Taagepera

Technological forecasting and social change. 1979;13(1):13-30. DOI:10.1016/0040-1625(79)90003-9 1979

World population growth and the role of annual energy use per capita [0.03%] 世界人口增长及年人均能源消费的作用

J Sheffield J Sheffield

Technological forecasting and social change. 1998 Sep;59(1):55-87. DOI:10.1016/s0040-1625(97)00071-1 1998

Longevity and life expectancy [0.03%] 长寿和预期寿命

C Marchetti C Marchetti

"In this article the evolution of life expectancy is examined historically for various European nations at various ages, and according to sex. Appropriate logistic equations describe the facts and extrapolate into the future giving the doct...

Technological forecasting and social change. 1997:55:281-99. DOI:10.1016/s0040-1625(97)00024-3 1997

Human population dynamics revisited with the logistic model: how much can be modeled and predicted? [0.03%] Logistic模型重温：人口动力学能建模和预测多少内容？

C Marchetti,P S Meyer,J H Ausubel C Marchetti

"We revive the logistic model, which was tested and found wanting in early-20th-century studies of aggregate human populations, and apply it instead to life expectancy (death) and fertility (birth)....For death...the logistic portrays the s...

Technological forecasting and social change. 1996 May;52(1):1-30. DOI:10.1016/0040-1625(96)00001-7 1996

The macrodynamics of international migration as a socio-cultural diffusion process. Part B: applications [0.03%] 国际移民作为社会文化扩散过程的宏观动力学第二部分：应用

N D Diamantides N D Diamantides

"This study formulates a model of the macrodynamics of international migration using a differential equation to capture the push-pull forces that propel it. The model's architecture rests on the functioning of information feedback between s...

Technological forecasting and social change. 1992 Dec;42(4):385-408. DOI:10.1016/0040-1625(92)90081-4 1992

Moving the census into the 21st century [0.03%] 将人口普查工作推进到21世纪

J F Coates J F Coates

Technological forecasting and social change. 1993 Nov;44(3):325-9. DOI:10.1016/0040-1625(93)90076-j 1993

Immigration: then, now, and in the future [0.03%] 移民：过去、现在与未来

J F Coates J F Coates

Technological forecasting and social change. 1991 Jul;39(4):411-5. DOI: 1991