Fanqi Zeng,Grant Blank,Ralph Schroeder
Fanqi Zeng
This paper develops a model that aims to pinpoint the future structural constraints facing a number of countries and the instability that may result from these constraints. The model uses existing datasets and extrapolates major patterns se...
John P Nelson,Cynthia L Selin
John P Nelson
Scholarly discussion around the governance of human genome editing (HGE) recognizes that development and application of HGE techniques could result in unexpected societal outcomes. However, it contains few to no methodological models for ho...
SEIR models in the light of Critical Realism - A critique of exaggerated claims about the effectiveness of Covid 19 vaccinations [0.03%]
批判实在论视角下的SEIR模型——关于新冠疫苗有效性的夸大 claim 的批评
Rainer J Klement,Harald Walach
Rainer J Klement
In a recent modeling study Watson et al. (Lancet Infect Dis 2022;3099:1-10) claim that Covid-19 vaccinations have helped to prevent roughly 14-20 million deaths in 2021. This conclusion is based on an epidemiological susceptible-exposed-inf...
Covid-19 and the politics of hope: A comparative analysis of Greek and Ecuadorian letters from a desired post-pandemic future [0.03%]
希望的政治学——希腊和厄瓜多尔新冠疫情后的乐观预测之比较分析
Jonathan Gross,Tine Davids,Anneke Sools et al.
Jonathan Gross et al.
Covid-19 forced changes in everyday life upon large sections of the world's population, with lockdowns and social distancing measures effecting conditions of work and leisure for billions of people. In this context our research created a sp...
David A Gibbs,Joe Flotemersch
David A Gibbs
Environmental decision- and policy-making must contend with uncertainty about the future that can hinder proactive environmental decisions, forcing environmental managers into reactive postures. To help prevent this, a variety of methods ex...
Engagements with uncertain futures - Analysing survivalist preparedness [0.03%]
面对不确定的未来——分析生存主义者的准备活动
Marjukka Parkkinen
Marjukka Parkkinen
Much like any grand-scale social disturbance, COVID-19 has brought increasing attention to emergency preparedness on global, national, and individual levels. Although independent preparedness is considered to play an important role in distu...
Emerging from the global syndemic crucible: Finding belonging in a post corona future [0.03%]
走出全球综合症的熔炉：在后疫情时代找到归属感
Le Anh Nguyen Long,Sofia Triliva,Tine Davids et al.
Le Anh Nguyen Long et al.
The covid-19 global syndemic has upended societies worldwide and concomitantly united the world in a shared experience of lockdowns, social distancing, and economic upheaval. In the face of great uncertainty, dystopian realities, and bindin...
Xavier Matteucci,Ko Koens,Licia Calvi et al.
Xavier Matteucci et al.
In the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, the future of tourism is a much-debated topic both in academic and non-academic circles with commentators expounding contrasting perspectives. This conceptual paper contributes to such debates and aims ...
Is Covid-19 a dread risk? The death toll of the pandemic year 2020 in long-term and transnational perspective [0.03%]
新冠疫情是一种致命风险吗？从长期和跨国角度看2020年的新冠肺炎死亡人数
Bernhard Gill,Theresa Kehler,Michael Schneider
Bernhard Gill
"Dread risks" are threats that can have catastrophic consequences. To analyse this issue we use excess mortality and corresponding life years lost as simple measures of the severity of pandemic events. As such, they are more robust than fig...
Pauli Komonen,Anu Seisto
Pauli Komonen
Consumers have needed to reorganise their daily lives due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It has become a focal question whether or not the changes will be permanent, short-lived or perhaps contribute to a transition towards new forms of consumpt...