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Journal of the knowledge economy. 2022 Feb 16:1-20. doi: 10.1007/s13132-021-00889-5 Q24.02024

Economic Uncertainty During COVID-19 Pandemic in Latin America and Asia

新冠疫情期间拉美和亚洲地区的经济不确定性 翻译改进

Ines Abdelkafi  1, Sahar Loukil  2, YossraBen Romdhane  3

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作者单位

  • 1 URAMEF, ESC, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
  • 2 ARTIGE, FSEG, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
  • 3 LED, IHEC, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
  • DOI: 10.1007/s13132-021-00889-5 PMID: 40479250

    摘要 中英对照阅读

    The purpose of this article is to analyze the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on inflation and exchange rate volatility and to study the government measures implemented in order to support economies. Based on monthly data from January to September 2020 for 10 countries, the dynamic panel data model is used to study the effect of COVID-19 spread. The results reveal that high infections negatively affect exchange rate and inflation; the responses of governments increase inflation and result in a lower exchange rate. In fact, providing health protocols which entered the countries into a new economic and financial crisis since economic agents could not freely engage in economic activities. Therefore, policy makers in both regions should invest in health infrastructure to improve the capacity of the national health system to resist the epidemic of contagious diseases.

    Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic; Dynamic panel data model; Government policy; Monetary policy; Public health.

    Keywords:economic uncertainty; covid-19 pandemic; latin america; asia

    本文的目的是分析COVID-19大流行对通货膨胀和汇率波动的影响,并研究政府为支持经济所采取的措施。基于2020年1月至9月期间10个国家的月度数据,使用动态面板数据模型来研究COVID-19传播的影响。结果表明,高感染率会对汇率和通货膨胀产生负面影响;政府应对措施会增加通货膨胀,并导致更低的汇率。实际上,提供卫生协议使各国陷入了新的经济和金融危机,因为经济主体无法自由地进行经济活动。因此,两地政策制定者应投资于卫生基础设施以提高国家卫生系统的抵抗传染病的能力。

    关键词:
    COVID-19大流行;动态面板数据模型;政府政策;货币政策;公共卫生。

    © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2022.


    关键词:经济不确定性; 新冠肺炎疫情; 拉丁美洲; 亚洲

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    期刊名:Journal of the knowledge economy

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    ISSN:1868-7865

    e-ISSN:1868-7873

    IF/分区:4.0/Q2

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