Background: Social and economic factors play significant roles in the incidence of uterine cancer. This study examined how age, time period and birth cohort affect incidence patterns across various regions.
Methods: Data on the incidence of uterine cancer from 1990 to 2021 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. An age-period-cohort (APC) model was applied to evaluate the effects and geographical variations.
Results: In 2021, there were 473,614 [95 % uncertainty interval (UI) 429,916-513,667] cases of uterine cancer globally, resulting in an age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of 10.4/100,000 (95 % UI 9.4-11.2). ASIR was highest in High-income North America and Europe (high-income regions), and lowest in South Asia and most African regions. The incidence of uterine cancer has surged disproportionately over time, especially in high-income regions and areas with rapid socio-economic changes. High-income Asia Pacific saw the fastest growth, with an annual net drift of 2.43 % (95 % confidence interval 2.29-2.57). Age is a critical determinant of the incidence of uterine cancer, with notable regional variation. Globally, the peak incidence of uterine cancer occurs at 70-74 years of age, or older, in most regions. However, earlier peaks in incidence are observed in East Asia and Asia Pacific (both 55-59 years), as well as Central Asia (60-64 years).
Conclusion: The incidence of uterine cancer is increasing globally, with marked geographical disparities in age distribution, temporal trends and cohort effects. While Europe and North America have the highest incidence rates globally, Asia faces a triple challenge: rising incidence, disproportionate caseloads, and younger age at diagnosis. Addressing geographical disparities is crucial in tackling the surge in cases of uterine cancer.
Keywords: Age pattern; Age-period-cohort model; Geographical disparities; Global burden of disease; Uterine cancer.
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