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Environmental health perspectives. 2019 Mar;127(3):37001. doi: 10.1289/EHP3556 Q19.82024

Evidence for Urban-Rural Disparity in Temperature-Mortality Relationships in Zhejiang Province, China

中国浙江省城市与农村温度-死亡关系差异的证据 翻译改进

Kejia Hu  1  2, Yuming Guo  2, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler  3, Wei Liu  3, Linda See  3, Xuchao Yang  1  4, Jieming Zhong  5, Fangrong Fei  5, Feng Chen  6, Yunquan Zhang  7  8, Qi Zhao  2, Gongbo Chen  9, Qian Chen  1, Yizhe Zhang  10, Tingting Ye  1, Lu Ma  7, Shanshan Li  2, Jiaguo Qi  4

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作者单位

  • 1 1 Institute of Island and Coastal Ecosystems, Ocean College, Zhejiang University , Zhoushan, China.
  • 2 2 Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University , Melbourne, Australia.
  • 3 3 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis , Laxenburg, Austria.
  • 4 4 Center for Global Change and Earth Observations, Michigan State University , East Lansing, Michigan, USA.
  • 5 5 Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Hangzhou, China.
  • 6 6 Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences , Hangzhou, China.
  • 7 7 Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Health Sciences, Wuhan University , Wuhan, China.
  • 8 8 Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology , Wuhan, China.
  • 9 9 Department of Global Health, School of Health Sciences, Wuhan University , Wuhan, China.
  • 10 10 School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University , Guangzhou, China.
  • DOI: 10.1289/EHP3556 PMID: 30822387

    摘要 Ai翻译

    Background: Temperature-related mortality risks have mostly been studied in urban areas, with limited evidence for urban-rural differences in the temperature impacts on health outcomes.

    Objectives: We investigated whether temperature-mortality relationships vary between urban and rural counties in China.

    Methods: We collected daily data on 1 km gridded temperature and mortality in 89 counties of Zhejiang Province, China, for 2009 and 2015. We first performed a two-stage analysis to estimate the temperature effects on mortality in urban and rural counties. Second, we performed meta-regression to investigate the modifying effect of the urbanization level. Stratified analyses were performed by all-cause, nonaccidental (stratified by age and sex), cardiopulmonary, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. We also calculated the fraction of mortality and number of deaths attributable to nonoptimum temperatures associated with both cold and heat components. The potential sources of the urban-rural differences were explored using meta-regression with county-level characteristics.

    Results: Increased mortality risks were associated with low and high temperatures in both rural and urban areas, but rural counties had higher relative risks (RRs), attributable fractions of mortality, and attributable death counts than urban counties. The urban-rural disparity was apparent for cold (first percentile relative to minimum mortality temperature), with an RR of 1.47 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.32, 1.62] associated with all-cause mortality for urban counties, and 1.98 (95% CI: 1.87, 2.10) for rural counties. Among the potential sources of the urban-rural disparity are age structure, education, GDP, health care services, air conditioners, and occupation types.

    Conclusions: Rural residents are more sensitive to both cold and hot temperatures than urban residents in Zhejiang Province, China, particularly the elderly. The findings suggest past studies using exposure-response functions derived from urban areas may underestimate the mortality burden for the population as a whole. The public health agencies aimed at controlling temperature-related mortality should develop area-specific strategies, such as to reduce the urban-rural gaps in access to health care and awareness of risk prevention. Future projections on climate health impacts should consider the urban-rural disparity in mortality risks. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP3556.

    Keywords:urban-rural disparity; zhejiang province

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    期刊名:Environmental health perspectives

    缩写:ENVIRON HEALTH PERSP

    ISSN:0091-6765

    e-ISSN:1552-9924

    IF/分区:9.8/Q1

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    Evidence for Urban-Rural Disparity in Temperature-Mortality Relationships in Zhejiang Province, China