Adaptations of existing central water supply and wastewater disposal systems to demographic, climatic and socioeconomic changes require a profound knowledge about changing influencing factors. The paper presents a scenario management approach for the identification of future developments of drivers influencing water infrastructures. This method is designed within a research project with the objective of developing an innovative software-based optimisation and decision support system for long-term transformations of existing infrastructures of water supply, wastewater and energy in rural areas. Drivers of water infrastructures comprise engineering and spatial factors and these are predicted by different methods and techniques. The calculated developments of the drivers are illustrated for a model municipality. The developed scenario-manager enables the generation of comprehensive scenarios by combining different drivers. The scenarios are integrated into the optimisation model as input parameters. Furthermore, the result of the optimisation process - an optimal transformation strategy for water infrastructures - can have impacts on the existing fee system. General adaptation possibilities of the present fee system are presented.
Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research. 2016;73(5):1041-51. doi: 10.2166/wst.2015.578 Q32.52024
Comprehensive scenario management of sustainable spatial planning and urban water services
可持续空间规划与城市供水服务的综合情景管理 翻译改进
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DOI: 10.2166/wst.2015.578 PMID: 26942525
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